Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Yokohama SCC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama SCC EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.33/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.62
-18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
448 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Yokohama SCC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama SCC Yokohama SCC JAP3
19.03.2023 Yokohama SCC Yokohama SCC 0-3 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
25.09.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama SCC Yokohama SCC JAP3
20.03.2022 Yokohama SCC Yokohama SCC 1-2 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1-1
AWAY Yokohama SCC
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Yokohama SCC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga and Yokohama SCC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 63% of the ball to Yokohama SCC's 37%, shots finished 25-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.00 for Yokohama SCC.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Yokohama SCC?

Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Yokohama SCC in the Japan - J3 League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Yokohama SCC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 51%, draw 24%, Yokohama SCC 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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