Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.20
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
217 Passes 405
64% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.04.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
16.10.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-1 HT 2-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
02.07.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-2 HT 0-2 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
03.10.2020 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
22.03.2015 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-1
AWAY Sagamihara
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano and Sagamihara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 39% of the ball to Sagamihara's 61%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 0.83 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara?

Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 42%, draw 27%, Sagamihara 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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