Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 5 Apr 2026

Tokushima Vortis
1-0 HT 1-0
Osaka
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
JAP2-3 – 2026

Tokushima Vortis vs Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tokushima Vortis v Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 32%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.66
+150% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +81%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 28.6
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-0
AWAY Osaka
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
276 Passes 360
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis nicked a narrow win over Osaka 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tokushima Vortis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 44% of the ball to Osaka's 56%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Osaka?

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Osaka in the JAP2-3 on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 44%, draw 27%, Osaka 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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