INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 2-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.79/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.86
+28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2025 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
12.04.2025 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
20.10.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
25.05.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
2-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) nicked a narrow win over Omiya Ardija (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had 54% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 46%, shots finished 17-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) and 0.25 for Omiya Ardija (K).

What was the final score of INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 2-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 54%, draw 26%, Omiya Ardija (K) 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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