Makhachkala vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Makhachkala v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals
Makhachkala vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Makhachkala 2-2 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics
Makhachkala and Baltika Kaliningrad shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 44%, and the draw held. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Makhachkala had 44% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 56%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.23 to 1.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Makhachkala and 1.00 for Baltika Kaliningrad.
What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
Makhachkala 2-2 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 26%, draw 44%, Baltika Kaliningrad 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.