Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.48
Over
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.25
2-3
41%
1.83
4-5
17%
5.67
6+
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.56
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.35
X/1
14%
4.09
X/2
10%
8.54
X/X
10%
3.76
2/1
12%
32.0
2/2
10%
7.81
2/X
7%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala The Market 24%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.72/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.63
+50% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
13.0 Crosses 16.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Makhachkala
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2023 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
2-0
AWAY Makhachkala
1.23 xG 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
218 Passes 177
63% Pass Accuracy 56%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad got the better of Makhachkala 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 52% of the ball to Makhachkala's 48%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.23 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Makhachkala?

Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 54%, draw 22%, Makhachkala 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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