CSKA Moskova vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Moskova v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Moskova vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CSKA Moskova 3-2 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Moskova squeezed past Spartak Moskova 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; CSKA Moskova found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, CSKA Moskova had 36% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 64%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 2.02 to 1.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.50 for Spartak Moskova.
What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Spartak Moskova?
CSKA Moskova 3-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Spartak Moskova?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 40%, draw 23%, Spartak Moskova 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.