CSKA Moskova 0-0 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 Apr 2024

CSKA Moskova
0-0 HT 0-0
Spartak Moskova
📅25/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

CSKA Moskova vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 32% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.52
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.34
X/2
18%
5.68
X/X
13%
4.78
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
12%
3.82
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSKA Moskova v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
1.21/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.28
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
14.8 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

CSKA Moskova vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 1.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
291 Passes 397
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-2 HT 1-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
21.05.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.10.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
20.04.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
26.02.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
20.09.2021 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS

CSKA Moskova 0-0 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
0-0
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.34 xG 0.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 Passes 364
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova and Spartak Moskova played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 46% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 54%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.34 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.17 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Spartak Moskova?

CSKA Moskova 0-0 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 38%, draw 26%, Spartak Moskova 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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