FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
3.16
2-3 Goals
33%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 38% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.16
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
20%
4.88
X/2
12%
6.31
X/X
12%
4.47
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.54
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.5pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -20%
1.21/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.50
-29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.8 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 1.49
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 Passes 338
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
23.04.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
30.07.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
23.04.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-2 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
02.08.2021 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
07.12.2020 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1-0
AWAY FC Sochi
0.78 xG 0.26
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
190 Passes 504
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny squeezed past FC Sochi 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day FC Akhmat Grozny made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 34% of the ball to FC Sochi's 66%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.78 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sochi led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.67 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs FC Sochi?

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 FC Sochi in the Russia - Premier League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 40%, draw 27%, FC Sochi 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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