Ural 0-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 Apr 2024

Ural
0-1 HT 0-0
Rostov
📅25/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.76
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
10%
5.16
X/2
9%
5.47
X/X
13%
4.04
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
22%
4.07
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.30/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.22
-20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
23.0 Crosses 19.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rostov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.19 xG 2.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
212 Passes 292
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2024 Ural Ural 1-3 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUSK
02.11.2023 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUK
29.09.2023 Rostov Rostov 2-2 HT 1-2 Ural Ural RUS
08.08.2023 Ural Ural 1-0 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
23.04.2023 Ural Ural 1-3 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
27.02.2023 Ural Ural 2-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
0-1
AWAY Rostov
1.07 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
293 Passes 266
66% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ural vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov squeezed past Ural 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Rostov made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Ural had 51% of the ball to Rostov's 49%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.07 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ural and 1.83 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Ural vs Rostov?

Ural 0-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ural 31%, draw 30%, Rostov 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5
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