Spartak Moskova 1-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.0
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.18
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.65
X/1
17%
4.03
X/2
7%
9.94
X/X
11%
4.89
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
9%
8.55
2/X
7%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.48/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.46
-16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +149%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.3 Crosses 13.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
3W-3D-0L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
401 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
25.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
08.10.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-2 HT 1-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
21.05.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.10.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
20.04.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
1-2
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.29 xG 0.48
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
475 Passes 204
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova squeezed past Spartak Moskova 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 67% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 33%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.29 to 0.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Spartak Moskova.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.83 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs CSKA Moskova?

Spartak Moskova 1-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 49%, draw 28%, CSKA Moskova 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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