Rostov 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.26
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
14%
5.7
X/2
9%
6.51
X/X
11%
5.57
2/1
7%
23.3
2/2
20%
4.0
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.59/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.29
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
21.2 Crosses 14.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
353 Passes 232
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
25.08.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2 HT 2-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
30.07.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
06.05.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
28.10.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
03.10.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-1 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.86 xG 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
264 Passes 289
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and Lokomotiv Moscow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Rostov had 49% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 51%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.86 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rostov and 1.67 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Rostov 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rostov 41%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Moscow 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rostov), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
26 Apr 2025
14:00 Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg Analysis →
14:00 Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Akhmat Grozny Analysis →
19:30 Spartak Moskova vs CSKA Moskova Analysis →