Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

Dinamo Moscow
1-1 HT 1-1
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
39%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 29% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
20%
6.68
1/2
6%
22.45
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
7%
8.84
X/2
14%
4.46
X/X
16%
5.39
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.35
2/X
6%
13.8
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.68 — our 20% vs market 11.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
23%
+10.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-13.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dinamo Moscow v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 56%
+11% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.45/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.82
+2% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +22%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
16.1 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.37
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
276 Passes 513
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
28.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.03.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
29.11.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
06.08.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-3 HT 1-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
22.04.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS

Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.06 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
398 Passes 315
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow and Zenit St. Petersburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 55% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 45%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.33 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 34%, draw 27%, Zenit St. Petersburg 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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