Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-0 HT 1-0
FC Akhmat Grozny
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Akhmat Grozny Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.37
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
11%
6.93
X/2
14%
4.78
X/X
14%
4.3
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.03
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v FC Akhmat Grozny — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.08/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.78
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +47%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
17.2 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Akhmat Grozny Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.10 xG 1.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
250 Passes 315
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
19.09.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
31.07.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 4-1 HT 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
28.04.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 5-1 HT 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
14.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
11.11.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-2 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod nicked a narrow win over FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Akhmat Grozny at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.17 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 28%, draw 30%, FC Akhmat Grozny 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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