Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.54
Over
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.26
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.96
6+
10%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.58
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
9%
14.75
X/1
10%
5.75
X/2
15%
4.88
X/X
12%
3.8
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.57
2/X
9%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov The Market 43%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.25/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.18
+10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
15.3 Crosses 19.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rostov
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.56 xG 2.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
191 Passes 314
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 38
8 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 Rostov Rostov 4-1 HT 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
14.08.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
10.08.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
30.11.2024 Rostov Rostov 4-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
19.10.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.02.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod HAZ
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov nicked a narrow win over Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Rostov made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 1.67 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rostov?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 34%, draw 29%, Rostov 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
5 Apr 2026
16:30 Makhachkala vs Baltika Kaliningrad Analysis →
19:30 Spartak Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Analysis →