Rostov 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 49%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.12
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 212
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
26.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
12.03.2023 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
14.08.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 HT 1-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
02.04.2022 Rostov Rostov 1-2 HT 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
22.08.2021 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 HT 1-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod nicked a narrow win over Rostov 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Pari Nizhny Novgorod found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rostov and 1.33 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Rostov 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Friendlies on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pari Nizhny Novgorod win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rostov 34%, draw 31%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pari Nizhny Novgorod), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pari Nizhny Novgorod) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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