Elfsborg 3-1 Odds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Feb 2024

Elfsborg
3-1
Odds BK
📅21/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Elfsborg vs Odds BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.74
Over 2.5
49%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
6.47
2-3 Goals
40%
2.13
4-5 Goals
20%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.27
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.47 — our 29% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.48
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.0
X/2
11%
7.97
X/X
14%
6.29
2/1
10%
20.2
2/2
12%
4.71
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
33%
+17.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
67%
-17.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.1pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elfsborg v Odds BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Odds BK EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Elfsborg vs Odds BK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Odds BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
The Meetings
06.08.2015 Odds BK Odds BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg AVL
30.07.2015 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-1 HT 1-1 Odds BK Odds BK AVL

Elfsborg 3-1 Odds BK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
3-1
AWAY Odds BK
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Odds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg got the better of Odds BK 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 45% of the ball to Odds BK's 55%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elfsborg and 1.50 for Odds BK.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Odds BK?

Elfsborg 3-1 Odds BK in the Friendlies on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Odds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 45%, draw 27%, Odds BK 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Under 2.5
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