Rosenborg 1-4 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Feb 2024

Rosenborg
1-4 HT 1-4
Valerenga
📅21/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Rosenborg vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
14%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.33
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
12%
4.49
X/2
8%
8.62
X/X
14%
5.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.1
2/2
12%
5.76
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosenborg v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 28%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+62% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Rosenborg vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Valerenga
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
282 Passes 431
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 1-3 HT 1-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
06.05.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-3 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
09.10.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
29.05.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 0-4 HT 0-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
17.10.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-2 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
09.05.2021 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga cruised past Rosenborg 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rosenborg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rosenborg and 1.17 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Valerenga?

Rosenborg 1-4 Valerenga in the Friendlies on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 45%, draw 28%, Valerenga 27%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rosenborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
21 Feb 2024
13:00 Lida vs Slutsk Analysis →
15:00 Elfsborg vs Odds BK Analysis →
16:30 Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Analysis →
21:15 Portekiz (K) vs Çekya (K) Analysis →