Albion 2-2 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albion EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 30%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.96
+132% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albion
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Cerro Largo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
18.09.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 1-1 Albion Albion URU
16.04.2022 Albion Albion 2-1 HT 2-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albion
2-2
AWAY Cerro Largo
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Albion vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albion and Cerro Largo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albion had 44% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 56%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Albion had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Albion and 1.00 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Albion vs Cerro Largo?

Albion 2-2 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albion vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Albion 39%, draw 26%, Cerro Largo 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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