Progreso vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
Progreso 0-2 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol saw off Progreso 2-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Progreso had 38% of the ball to CA Penarol's 62%, shots finished 6-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Progreso and 2.50 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Progreso vs CA Penarol?
Progreso 0-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Progreso 14%, draw 22%, CA Penarol 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.