Progreso vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Progreso v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Progreso 0-2 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol got the better of Progreso 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Progreso had 33% of the ball to CA Penarol's 67%, shots finished 8-19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Progreso and 1.33 for CA Penarol.
Progreso vs CA Penarol Result & Final Score
Progreso 0 - 2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Progreso vs CA Penarol Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Progreso 17%, draw 24%, CA Penarol 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.