Progreso vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
0-2
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
2-1
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
Progreso 0-2 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol got the better of Progreso 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Progreso had 33% of the ball to CA Penarol's 67%, shots finished 8-19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Progreso and 1.33 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Progreso vs CA Penarol?
Progreso 0-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Progreso 26%, draw 24%, CA Penarol 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.