Cerro Largo vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Largo v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Largo vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
URU
1-0
HT 1-0
Cerro Largo
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
Nacional de Football ran out comfortable winners over Cerro Largo 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Nacional de Football found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.83 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Nacional de Football?
Cerro Largo 0-4 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 31%, draw 31%, Nacional de Football 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.