Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevideo Wanderers v CA River Plate — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-1
CA River Plate
URUK
2-1
HT 0-1
CA River Plate
URU
4-0
HT 0-0
CA River Plate
URU
1-2
HT 0-1
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
1-2
HT 1-0
CA River Plate
URU
Montevideo Wanderers 1-3 CA River Plate — Actual Match Statistics
CA River Plate beat Montevideo Wanderers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Montevideo Wanderers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 61% of the ball to CA River Plate's 39%, shots finished 9-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.83 for CA River Plate.
What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate?
Montevideo Wanderers 1-3 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 41%, draw 26%, CA River Plate 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.