Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.59/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.27
+12% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Boston River
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
29.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
28.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
09.10.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 HT 1-1 Boston River Boston River URU
17.05.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
24.10.2021 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-0
AWAY Boston River
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) squeezed past Boston River 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 42% of the ball to Boston River's 58%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.33 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Boston River?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 43%, draw 28%, Boston River 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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