Progreso vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
0-2
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
Progreso 1-3 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol got the better of Progreso 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Progreso had 44% of the ball to CA Penarol's 56%, shots finished 11-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Progreso and 2.17 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Progreso vs CA Penarol?
Progreso 1-3 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Progreso 17%, draw 25%, CA Penarol 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.