Rangers 4-1 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
24.45
X/1
20%
3.39
X/2
9%
21.45
X/X
8%
8.0
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
7%
17.1
2/X
7%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-15.8pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.4pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rangers EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
2.49/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.16
+10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +11%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
476 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 79%
40.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
29.3 Crosses 15.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rangers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kilmarnock
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 0.97
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
518 Passes 174
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-2 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
02.01.2024 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
05.08.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
04.03.2023 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 3-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
18.01.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-3 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
06.08.2022 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rangers
4-1
AWAY Kilmarnock
4.89 xG 0.38
73% Ball Possession 27%
41 Total Shots 5
15 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 1
492 Passes 104
86% Pass Accuracy 48%
51 Box Touches 6
39 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rangers vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers swept aside Kilmarnock 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rangers had 73% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 27%, shots finished 41-5, expected goals 4.89 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rangers and 1.00 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Rangers vs Kilmarnock?

Rangers 4-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rangers vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rangers 58%, draw 21%, Kilmarnock 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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