IFK Trelleborg 4-1 IFK Berga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+7.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-10.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.2pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 49%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -26%
1.79/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.13
+17% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Trelleborg
1W-1D-0L
AWAY IFK Berga
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.07.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 2-2 HT 2-2 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
07.04.2023 IFK Berga IFK Berga 2-4 HT 0-1 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Trelleborg vs IFK Berga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Trelleborg ran out comfortable winners over IFK Berga 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and on the day IFK Trelleborg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, IFK Trelleborg had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for IFK Trelleborg and 2.00 for IFK Berga.

What was the final score of IFK Trelleborg vs IFK Berga?

IFK Trelleborg 4-1 IFK Berga in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Trelleborg vs IFK Berga?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Trelleborg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IFK Trelleborg 39%, draw 27%, IFK Berga 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Trelleborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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