05/05/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
1-2
Jonsereds IF vs Astrio Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
22%
Draw
16%
61%
Away Win
72%
46%
Under 2.5
35%
54%
Over 2.5
65%
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
51%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jonsereds IF v Astrio — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jonsereds IF
EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY
Astrio
EU Bookmakers 77%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+4%
/
+150%
37%
Ball Possession
63%
8
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
9
249 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
416 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.2
POST-MATCH
Jonsereds IF vs Astrio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Astrio saw off Jonsereds IF 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Astrio as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Jonsereds IF vs Astrio?
Jonsereds IF 0-2 Astrio in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jonsereds IF vs Astrio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Astrio win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Jonsereds IF 17%, draw 22%, Astrio 61%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astrio), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Astrio)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İSÇ4
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5 May 2024