IK Gauthiod 2-3 Säffle SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.49
No
34%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
35%
Draw
25%
+10.4pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
63%
+3.4pp
34%
BTTS No
37%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Säffle SK EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.23/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.69/1.01
-28% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Gauthiod
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Säffle SK
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
4 Corners 3
19.08.2023 Säffle SK Säffle SK 1-0 HT 1-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
22.04.2023 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 6-0 HT 3-0 Säffle SK Säffle SK İSÇ4
16.10.2022 Säffle SK Säffle SK 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IK Gauthiod vs Säffle SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Säffle SK edged past IK Gauthiod 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 35% / 33%) promised a tight game; Säffle SK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for IK Gauthiod and 0.67 for Säffle SK.

What was the final score of IK Gauthiod vs Säffle SK?

IK Gauthiod 2-3 Säffle SK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Gauthiod vs Säffle SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split IK Gauthiod 32%, draw 35%, Säffle SK 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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