Bologna U19 3-2 Atalanta U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 5 May 2024

Bologna U19
3-2 HT 2-2
Atalanta U19
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Primavera Championship – 2023/2024

Bologna U19 vs Atalanta U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bologna U19 v Atalanta U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta U19 EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.41/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Bologna U19 vs Atalanta U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna U19 squeezed past Atalanta U19 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta U19 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Bologna U19 vs Atalanta U19?

Bologna U19 3-2 Atalanta U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna U19 vs Atalanta U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bologna U19 25%, draw 29%, Atalanta U19 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta U19), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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