Fiorentina U19 1-2 Cagliari U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.05/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/3.00
+9% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U19
1-2
AWAY Cagliari U19
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U19 vs Cagliari U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari U19 nicked a narrow win over Fiorentina U19 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fiorentina U19 had 49% of the ball to Cagliari U19's 51%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U19 vs Cagliari U19?

Fiorentina U19 1-2 Cagliari U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U19 vs Cagliari U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U19 43%, draw 26%, Cagliari U19 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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