05/05/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Genoa U19 vs Juventus U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
33%
Draw
25%
29%
Away Win
30%
50%
Under 2.5
42%
50%
Over 2.5
58%
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
48%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa U19 v Juventus U19 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Genoa U19
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Juventus U19
EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% /
+40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-18% /
-18%
1.54/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.18/1.14
-11%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-88%
/
+27%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
330 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
335 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.1
Yellow Cards
3.0
Genoa U19 vs Juventus U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Genoa U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Juventus U19
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
45%
Ball Possession
55%
6
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
3
The Meetings
22.10.2023
Juventus U19
3-2
HT 2-2
Genoa U19
İTAPŞ1
3-2
HT 2-2
Genoa U19
İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH
Genoa U19 vs Juventus U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Genoa U19 beat Juventus U19 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Genoa U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Genoa U19 vs Juventus U19?
Genoa U19 3-1 Juventus U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa U19 vs Juventus U19?
Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Genoa U19 39%, draw 33%, Juventus U19 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa U19), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Genoa U19)
✓ BTTS Yes
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İTAPŞ1
More Italy - Primavera Championship
5 May 2024