Elversberg 4-2 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 5 May 2024

Elversberg
4-2 HT 1-1
Hertha Berlin
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Elversberg vs Hertha Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.74
Over 2.5
50%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.89
2-3 Goals
41%
2.05
4-5 Goals
23%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.52
1/2
8%
23.6
1/X
9%
11.6
X/1
12%
6.34
X/2
9%
6.06
X/X
12%
5.64
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
18%
3.31
2/X
6%
11.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
33%
+16.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
67%
-16.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.2pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elversberg v Hertha Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.07/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.28
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
17.3 Crosses 19.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Elversberg vs Hertha Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
1.25 xG 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
380 Passes 466
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 5-1 HT 2-1 Elversberg Elversberg AL2

Elversberg 4-2 Hertha Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
4-2
AWAY Hertha Berlin
2.73 xG 2.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
409 Passes 389
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 35
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg got the better of Hertha Berlin 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Elversberg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Elversberg had 51% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 49%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 2.73 to 2.54.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Hertha Berlin?

Elversberg 4-2 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 38%, draw 26%, Hertha Berlin 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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