Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 5 May 2024

Wehen Wiesbaden
0-1 HT 0-0
Holstein Kiel
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.0
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.9
X/1
10%
7.44
X/2
11%
4.78
X/X
11%
5.15
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
27%
2.68
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 1/X at 12.9 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wehen Wiesbaden v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.18/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.13
-18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
259 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
15.6 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.26 xG 2.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
270 Passes 404
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-2 HT 2-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
13.06.2020 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-2 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
23.11.2019 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 3-6 HT 2-4 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
05.04.2017 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-0 HT 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
22.10.2016 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL3
02.04.2016 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3

Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 Holstein Kiel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
0-1
AWAY Holstein Kiel
0.60 xG 0.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
300 Passes 393
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel edged past Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holstein Kiel as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 47% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 53%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.60 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 2.33 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Holstein Kiel?

Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 29%, draw 26%, Holstein Kiel 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstein Kiel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holstein Kiel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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