Hannover 96 3-2 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 5 May 2024

Hannover 96
3-2 HT 3-2
Paderborn
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hannover 96 vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.58
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
20%
4.78
X/2
8%
7.65
X/X
14%
5.57
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
12%
4.96
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hannover 96 v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.56/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.48
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.2 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Hannover 96 vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Paderborn
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.43 xG 2.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
271 Passes 384
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
11.02.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-4 HT 2-2 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
09.12.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 HAZ
06.08.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 4-2 HT 1-2 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
24.04.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 3-0 HT 2-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
19.11.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2

Hannover 96 3-2 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
3-2
AWAY Paderborn
3.43 xG 2.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
328 Passes 414
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 nicked a narrow win over Paderborn 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hannover 96 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 45% of the ball to Paderborn's 55%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 3.43 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hannover 96 and 2.17 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Paderborn?

Hannover 96 3-2 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 42%, draw 29%, Paderborn 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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