Hvidovre 0-1 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.22
1/2
5%
21.45
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
11%
7.86
X/2
12%
4.62
X/X
11%
5.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
33.5
2/2
26%
2.5
2/X
9%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 33.5 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.39/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.17
-11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +117%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
22.4 Crosses 20.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Viborg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.31 xG 1.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
324 Passes 322
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 39
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Viborg Viborg 3-1 HT 1-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN
25.02.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 2-2 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
14.08.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN
26.02.2021 Viborg Viborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
25.10.2020 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-2 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN1
14.06.2020 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-4 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
0-1
AWAY Viborg
1.25 xG 1.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
382 Passes 382
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 28
29 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg nicked a narrow win over Hvidovre 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viborg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hvidovre had 51% of the ball to Viborg's 49%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.25 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hvidovre and 2.00 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Viborg?

Hvidovre 0-1 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 33%, draw 25%, Viborg 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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