Hvidovre 2-2 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.62
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
9%
9.99
X/2
15%
3.91
X/X
10%
5.51
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.08
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-10.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 61%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.29/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.25
-55% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +66%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 72%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
23.0 Crosses 20.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Viborg
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.97 xG 2.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
366 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 51
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.08.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN
26.02.2021 Viborg Viborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
25.10.2020 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-2 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN1
14.06.2020 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-4 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN1
28.02.2020 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
2-2
AWAY Viborg
1.71 xG 1.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 Passes 269
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 29
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre and Viborg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Viborg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hvidovre had 50% of the ball to Viborg's 50%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.71 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Viborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Hvidovre and 1.60 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Viborg?

Hvidovre 2-2 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 29%, draw 25%, Viborg 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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