Odense 0-3 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.21
1/2
9%
24.45
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
15%
7.17
X/2
13%
4.54
X/X
10%
4.8
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.74
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.14/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.55
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
16.2 Crosses 19.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Brondby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
333 Passes 403
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2023 Brondby Brondby 1-2 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
06.11.2022 Odense Odense 1-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
14.08.2022 Brondby Brondby 2-0 HT 2-0 Odense Odense DAN
07.11.2021 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-1 Odense Odense DAN
21.08.2021 Odense Odense 2-2 HT 0-2 Brondby Brondby DAN
07.07.2021 Odense Odense 1-1 Brondby Brondby HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
0-3
AWAY Brondby
0.76 xG 1.43
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
326 Passes 559
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odense vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby cruised past Odense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Brondby made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Odense had 40% of the ball to Brondby's 60%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.76 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Odense and 1.50 for Brondby.

What was the final score of Odense vs Brondby?

Odense 0-3 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Odense 35%, draw 26%, Brondby 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brondby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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