Galatasaray 6-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.46
Over 2.5
57%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
8.75
2-3 Goals
39%
2.4
4-5 Goals
25%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
3.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.28
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
30.0
X/1
20%
3.64
X/2
4%
31.0
X/X
7%
12.8
2/1
7%
19.9
2/2
8%
20.85
2/X
6%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-15.4pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.7pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
25%
+17.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
75%
-17.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
2.53/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.65
+0% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
423 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
35.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
25.3 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 1.14
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
421 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.01.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
20.05.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
29.12.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
01.05.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-3 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
13.12.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
07.03.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-2 HT 1-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
6-1
AWAY Sivasspor
2.62 xG 0.80
69% Ball Possession 31%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
541 Passes 186
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
31 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray ran out comfortable winners over Sivasspor 6-1. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Galatasaray had 69% of the ball to Sivasspor's 31%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.62 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Galatasaray and 1.33 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Sivasspor?

Galatasaray 6-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 65%, draw 18%, Sivasspor 17%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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