Gaziantep FK 1-1 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.17
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
19%
4.84
X/2
8%
6.41
X/X
8%
4.24
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.72
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.43/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.61
+16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.7 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 Passes 422
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
01.02.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 4-1 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
20.08.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
07.03.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-2 HT 1-2 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
18.10.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
15.05.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-1
AWAY Hatayspor
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
258 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK and Hatayspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 50% of the ball to Hatayspor's 50%, shots finished 14-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.00 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Hatayspor?

Gaziantep FK 1-1 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 41%, draw 24%, Hatayspor 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gaziantep FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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