Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo La Guaira v Metropolitanos — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo La Guaira
VEN
2-0
HT 0-0
Metropolitanos
VEN
1-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo La Guaira
VEN
1-0
HT 1-0
Metropolitanos
VEN
Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Metropolitanos — Actual Match Statistics
Metropolitanos nicked a narrow win over Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Guaira at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 51% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 49%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.43 to 1.15.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.00 for Metropolitanos.
What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos?
Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 46%, draw 29%, Metropolitanos 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.