Hermanos Colmenarez 1-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.20/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.95
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
20.2 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
2W-1D-2L
AWAY UCV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.73 xG 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
284 Passes 252
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
07.08.2023 UCV UCV 2-1 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
08.04.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
15.08.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
10.04.2022 UCV UCV 0-1 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1-1
AWAY UCV
1.58 xG 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
257 Passes 186
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermanos Colmenarez and UCV shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was UCV at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 57% of the ball to UCV's 43%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.58 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 0.80 for UCV.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs UCV?

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-1 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 26%, draw 31%, UCV 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCV), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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