IK Brage 0-2 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 5 May 2025

IK Brage
0-2 HT 0-1
Östersunds FK
📅05/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

IK Brage vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.95
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.66
X/2
13%
7.11
X/X
10%
4.29
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
16%
5.63
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Brage v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.55/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.24
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

IK Brage vs Östersunds FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
12.05.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 2-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
27.09.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
31.05.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
03.08.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
15.05.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-3 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK saw off IK Brage 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Östersunds FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IK Brage and 1.00 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Östersunds FK?

IK Brage 0-2 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 40%, draw 25%, Östersunds FK 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IK Brage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
5 May 2025
20:00 Örebro vs Trelleborgs FF Analysis →