Afturelding 3-0 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 May 2025

Afturelding
3-0 HT 1-0
Stjarnan
📅05/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2025

Afturelding vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Afturelding v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
0.80/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/1.26
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
15.0 Crosses 10.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Afturelding vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.02.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-1 HT 3-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK

Afturelding 3-0 Stjarnan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
3-0
AWAY Stjarnan
1.91 xG 1.96
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 9
207 Passes 392
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 33
22 Crosses 40
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding ran out comfortable winners over Stjarnan 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Afturelding found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Afturelding had 39% of the ball to Stjarnan's 61%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.91 to 1.96.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Stjarnan?

Afturelding 3-0 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 33%, draw 27%, Stjarnan 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stjarnan), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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