Breidablik 3-3 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.8pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.83/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.85
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.4 Crosses 21.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
3W-0D-3L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.31 xG 1.59
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
373 Passes 225
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 4-2 HT 3-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
28.04.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-3 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
01.10.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-3 HT 1-3 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.08.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 3-4 HT 1-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
13.05.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
15.10.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 0-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
3-3
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.42 xG 2.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 21
10 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 9
336 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik and KR Reykjavik couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Breidablik at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Breidablik had 54% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 46%, shots finished 18-21, expected goals 2.42 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Breidablik and 2.17 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs KR Reykjavik?

Breidablik 3-3 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 53%, draw 21%, KR Reykjavik 26%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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