Breidablik 4-2 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.93/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.93
+4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.8 Crosses 21.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
3W-0D-3L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.77 xG 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
344 Passes 181
73% Pass Accuracy 56%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-3 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
01.10.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-3 HT 1-3 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.08.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 3-4 HT 1-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
13.05.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
15.10.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 0-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
23.06.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 4-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
4-2
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.39 xG 1.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
431 Passes 313
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik beat KR Reykjavik 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Breidablik had 57% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 43%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.39 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Breidablik and 1.83 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs KR Reykjavik?

Breidablik 4-2 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 46%, draw 27%, KR Reykjavik 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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