Stjarnan 2-0 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.14
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.35
No
43%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.8pp
43%
BTTS No
30%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
2.40/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.87
+15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
14.9 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fylkir
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
445 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 0-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
14.08.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 0-4 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
22.05.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
23.08.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
30.05.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 1-1 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
20.03.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-2 Fylkir Fylkir İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
2-0
AWAY Fylkir
1.90 xG 0.95
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
488 Passes 204
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
43 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 17
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan saw off Fylkir 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stjarnan had 66% of the ball to Fylkir's 34%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.90 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stjarnan and 0.83 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Fylkir?

Stjarnan 2-0 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 54%, draw 22%, Fylkir 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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