Vikingur R. 3-2 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.77/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.09
+22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
25.4 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
410 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-1 HT 2-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
15.04.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
03.09.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
11.06.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-1 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
23.02.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-3 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZLK
07.08.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-3 HT 1-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
3-2
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.90 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
428 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. nicked a narrow win over Fram Reykjavik 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 55% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 45%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.90 to 1.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vikingur R.'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.17 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Fram Reykjavik?

Vikingur R. 3-2 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 54%, draw 23%, Fram Reykjavik 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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