Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Flamengo
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Cruzeiro
BR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Flamengo
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Cruzeiro
BR1
Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro nicked a narrow win over Flamengo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 41% of the ball to Flamengo's 59%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.20 to 0.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.83 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 23%, draw 29%, Flamengo 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.