Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.99
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.3
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
16.1
X/1
8%
8.37
X/2
22%
4.27
X/X
11%
4.02
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.6
2/X
12%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 53%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.06/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.11
-42% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
24.3 Crosses 16.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Flamengo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.89 xG 1.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
323 Passes 414
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.11.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
01.07.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.10.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-2 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
28.05.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
21.09.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
28.04.2019 Flamengo Flamengo 3-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
2-1
AWAY Flamengo
1.20 xG 0.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 Passes 442
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro nicked a narrow win over Flamengo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 41% of the ball to Flamengo's 59%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.20 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.83 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?

Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 23%, draw 29%, Flamengo 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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