Cruzeiro 0-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Nov 2024

Cruzeiro
0-1 HT 0-0
Flamengo
📅07/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.42
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.95
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.7
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.9
X/1
12%
5.01
X/2
12%
5.64
X/X
12%
3.77
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
14%
4.37
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruzeiro v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.34/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.33
-14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
26.7 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Flamengo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
342 Passes 416
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.07.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.10.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-2 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
28.05.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
21.09.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
28.04.2019 Flamengo Flamengo 3-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
25.11.2018 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1

Cruzeiro 0-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
0-1
AWAY Flamengo
0.73 xG 0.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
363 Passes 334
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo squeezed past Cruzeiro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Flamengo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 53% of the ball to Flamengo's 47%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.73 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cruzeiro and 2.00 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?

Cruzeiro 0-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 36%, draw 30%, Flamengo 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cruzeiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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